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2024-12-13 12:00:31

IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.The full implementation of the personal pension system may bring more medium and long-term funds, and the allocation value of the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) has attracted much attention. On December 12, the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) closed up 1.07%, with a turnover of 92.5438 million yuan. The constituent stocks were all red, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by 2.47%, Kweichow Moutai rising by 1.97% and Wuliangye rising by 1.62%. China Merchants Bank and China Ping An followed suit. In the news, since December 15th, the personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and the first batch of 85 index funds have been included in the product range, which has attracted attention, including 12 Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds and 300ETF(159925) in South China. According to industry insiders, since the personal pension fund system came into being, both personal pension funds and sales organizations have steadily expanded. The increase of fund products and the continuous addition of new sales organizations will bring more medium and long-term funds to the capital market, and the Southern CSI 300ETF(159925) will benefit in the medium and long term.


Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.In 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao increased by 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. At the regular press conference held by the Ministry of Commerce today (12th), spokesman He Yadong introduced that by signing CEPA and its series of agreements, the mainland has fully liberalized its trade in goods and basically liberalized its trade in services. According to statistics, in 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao was 3.84 billion US dollars, an increase of 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. By October 2024, the mainland had absorbed a total of 23.93 billion US dollars of direct investment from Macao, and the mainland had invested 14.19 billion US dollars in Macao.Ai Kelan: Liu Yi, the actual controller, intends to transfer 5% of the company's shares by agreement, with a total transaction price of 82.44 million yuan. Liu Yi, the controlling shareholder and actual controller, signed a share transfer agreement with Guangdong Nanchuan Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., and Liu Yi intends to transfer 4 million unrestricted shares of the company (accounting for 5% of the company's total share capital) to Nanchuan Private Equity through agreement transfer. The transfer price is 20.61 yuan per share, and the total transaction price is 82.44 million yuan. This change in equity will not lead to changes in the controlling shareholder or actual controller of the company, and will not lead to changes in the control rights of listed companies.


Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.The Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization said that it would disband the Syrian government security forces. On December 11th, Giulani, leader of the Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization, said in a statement to Reuters that he would disband the Syrian government security forces and close the prison.

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